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FOMC Rate Decision (with Economic Projections)

Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM IST

Actual

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Estimate

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Previous

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Predictive Analysis

Pre-event
๐Ÿฅ‡

Gold

Gold (XAU/USD)

โ—†NEUTRAL
Signal confidence
55%

Ballpark support / resistance (live price ยฑ typical move)

Support

3,969.90

โˆ’38.00

Move

โˆ’38.00/+48.00

Resistance

4,055.90

+48.00

Ballpark only โ€” derived from the live price and this event's typical historical move, not chart-based technical levels.

Analysis

A fully priced-in FOMC decision leaves Gold range-bound initially. The focus shifts to Powell's press conference -- his tone on future cuts or hikes is what really moves the needle. Watch for the word "data-dependent" vs specific forward guidance.

Historical moves (last 4)

FOMC Hold 5.25% (neutral tone)

Jun 2026

-10.00

FOMC Hold (hawkish dots)

Mar 2026

-34.00

FOMC -25bps (dovish surprise)

Dec 2025

+44.00

FOMC Hold (hawkish Powell)

Sep 2025

-38.00
Average move (all scenarios)31.50 oz
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Silver

Silver (XAG/USD)

โ—†NEUTRAL
Signal confidence
54%

Ballpark support / resistance (live price ยฑ typical move)

Support

53.27

โˆ’0.68

Move

โˆ’0.68/+0.82

Resistance

54.77

+0.82

Ballpark only โ€” derived from the live price and this event's typical historical move, not chart-based technical levels.

Analysis

In-line FOMC decision keeps Silver neutral. Watch Powell for hints about the pace of future easing.

Historical moves (last 4)

FOMC Hold 5.25% (neutral tone)

Jun 2026

-0.18

FOMC Hold (hawkish dots)

Mar 2026

-0.64

FOMC -25bps (dovish surprise)

Dec 2025

+0.78

FOMC Hold (hawkish Powell)

Sep 2025

-0.70
Average move (all scenarios)0.58 oz
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Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil

โ—†NEUTRAL
Signal confidence
50%

Ballpark support / resistance (live price ยฑ typical move)

Support

102.02

โˆ’1.25

Move

โˆ’1.25/+0.90

Resistance

104.17

+0.90

Ballpark only โ€” derived from the live price and this event's typical historical move, not chart-based technical levels.

Analysis

In-line FOMC. Crude will trade on its own supply/demand fundamentals. Watch EIA inventory data for near-term direction.

Historical moves (last 4)

FOMC Hold 5.25% (neutral)

Jun 2026

+0.35

FOMC Hold (hawkish dots)

Mar 2026

-1.40

FOMC -25bps (dovish)

Dec 2025

+0.90

FOMC Hold (hawkish Powell)

Sep 2025

-1.10
Average move (all scenarios)0.94 bbl

Current prices (live context)

XAUUSD

$4,007.90

XAGUSD

$53.95

WTI

$103.27