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Gold (XAU/USD)

Safe haven · Non-yielding · Inversely correlated to real yields & USD

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How Gold reacts to US data

Hot CPI / PPI

Hawkish Fed → higher real yields → USD stronger

▼ Bearish

Cool CPI / PCE

Dovish Fed → lower real yields → USD weaker

▲ Bullish

Strong NFP

Reduces rate cut bets → dollar strength

▼ Bearish

Weak NFP

Accelerates rate cut expectations → safe haven buying

▲ Bullish

FOMC Rate Hike

Opportunity cost of holding gold rises

▼ Sharply Bearish

FOMC Rate Cut

Non-yielding gold becomes more attractive

▲ Sharply Bullish

USD Strengthens

Gold is USD-denominated — inverse relationship

▼ Bearish

Geopolitical risk

Safe haven demand surge

▲ Bullish

Upcoming events affecting Gold